Current regime
The current regime, our confidence in it, and the published indicators behind it. Updated when a call is confirmed. Positions and trading activity are available to invited clients only.
Current regime
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Growth and inflation map
Growth
Growth rising · Inflation falling
Disinflation
Growth rising · Inflation rising
Reflation
Growth
Growth slowing · Inflation falling
Deflation
Growth slowing · Inflation rising
Stagflation
Inflation falling
Inflation rising
The highlighted cell is the current regime. The map shows direction only; it does not show our thresholds or positions.
Published indicators
Confidence history
Indicator values are shown as published by their sources, with the date of each reading. Growth and inflation readings are subject to revision. Regime calls are informational and are not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past calls do not predict future results. Paper-trading results are hypothetical and are shown on the Track Record section of the home page.
